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FB Chance Per Mission Study: 6/15 Update


SawzAll

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All,

     So here's my update for our study on the chance of getting a fortune box from all campaign boss missions at all difficulty levels.  I have made the Google Sheets link public:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/14RulUeu8g7bTZb4N9rSZ5bRoqpZvrXac7CbAhmt-dDY/edit?usp=sharing

How to read this:

1) If the sheet says #DIV/0! that means it has no data yet (equation is dividing by zero).

2) The minimum trustworthy data points are 40 runs, but we are pushing these out to 100 in order to have more statistical trust.

If you would like to volunteer to help with this, DM me.  The way this research works, we have to be strict on how we do it so that the results are reliable.

These are being farmed by multiple accounts and people, so that the results are not skewed by whether the game favors a player or not.  (We have no proof the game gives a krap who you are or how many times you've farmed a level, except for the first time you beat it, but just in case, we're doing it this way so the data is more robust.)

So far, these are your best chances:

CAMPAIGN AREA MISSION DIFFICULTY RUNS FBS CHANCES BOSS
1V1 Danger Zone 11 Hard 40 5 13% MOLOTOV
1V1 Dry Lands 6 Insane 40 5 13% RAMBOY
1V1 Overlord's Den 8 Normal 68 9 13% RAMBOY
1V1 Scavenger Pass 7 Insane 40 5 13% RAMBOY
2V2 Frozen Abyss 7 Insane 40 5 13% SHARK TOOTH
Edited by SawzAll (see edit history)

"Play stupid games, win stupid prizes."

http://www.puresimplicity.net/~oneeyedcat/misc/supermechs.html

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2 hours ago, local melee weapons fan said:

my overlord den boss is bigboy and ramboy is like 1st boss or smth

Yeah, that's what I thought, too.  We will continue to run the campaigns until at least 100 data points per mission, so we'll see.

"Play stupid games, win stupid prizes."

http://www.puresimplicity.net/~oneeyedcat/misc/supermechs.html

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